<ed.note>I thought it might be an interesting exercise to revisit some predictions I made in the ADRIS Newsletter back in the day.</ed.note>
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Association for VOLUME
27
Ed-itorialMost of the content of previous
newsletters has been compiled from a variety of sources. The organization
has been loose at best. There have been general themes, however. In a
nutshell, the focus has been "How can we use these emerging
technologies to make our outreach more effective?" ADRIS began with a strong mission to
make data available. This data was being gathered by disparate
organizations – and by nature of the technology of the time – it was
gathered in "proprietary" format. Since these formats were not
yet widely distributed, data tended to be "locked" in each
organization’s database and they were tedious and burdensome to
translate to another "proprietary" format. I became involved with ADRIS just as
the Internet was becoming accessible to mainstream society. I had a hunch
that in time (although I was not certain which specific mechanism would be
adopted) this large network would provide a way for these databases (which
were being upgraded to more “networkable” versions) to interact with
one another. Key to this hunch was that it would not be just periodic
static posting of data from one base to another, but that they would
eventually be structured to work dynamically in real-time. I came to the conclusion that it would be a more efficient approach for ADRIS Newsletter to assume that organizations would learn that there were several reasons why it would be desirous for them to make their data available in such a manner. This differed from the previous approach which ADRIS had utilized – that of attempting to get copies of these databases and index and/or translate them into one large data source. As some of you know,
I work as an intranet/internet developer with Compuware Professional
Services (from 1999 to 2009) in Nashville, TN. In my day-to-day life I am charged with
research duties as well as proof of concept development at a variety of
large, global corporations. These companies serve as excellent test
beds to indicate which technologies will be eventually adopted by the
business community. This adoption, in turn, with the exception of the open
source movement, will determine into which directions software and
hardware makers are likely to point in upcoming development cycles. I thought I would use
this issue of the Newsletter to discuss some upcoming trends that will
impact organizations of faith and non-profits. I hope you will react with
feedback while the article is being compiled. Any suggested links to
promising technologies are especially sought and criticism or reservations
are sought as well. Ed
Dodds, editor@adris.org Sources which indicate this trend: <ed.note>This movement/philosophy is referred to now (2009) as "Open Data".</ed.note> Trend #2 -- Education and Religious Content to Develop Audio Book Virtual Libraries available via Broadband Internet, Digital Radio, Satellite Radio, Wireless Handhelds Sources which indicate this trend: Christian Digital Library Foundation Future Direction of Wireless Applications Takeshi Natsuno, Executive Director, Gateway Business Department, NTT DoCoMo, Stanford University Online Courses Nokia presents first integrated mobile multimedia device <ed.note>Insert standard iPod/iTunes University story here.</ed.note> Trend #3 -- "CLEP TEST" Model for Distance Learning Degree Granting to be Adopted Sources which indicate this trend: Mindedge
Online Degrees <ed.note>While the degree to which models of commercial higher ed schools, charter schools, home schools have multiplied -- and with this a variety of distance and web-enabled ed models, the credentialing oligarchy is still in place. It is worth observing that undergraduate standards are being developed via an initiative under the auspices of the National Governors Association (with 47 States participating). I expect these credentialing folks to be overturned as the public becomes aware that the true bottleneck (say for nurses and doctors) is not the number of students who can enter programs (say medical school) but the number of folks/process society have deemed authoritative to determine competency on the outcomes side of the ed pipeline. The for-profit ed model will necessarily have to begin lobbying for alternative accreditation mechanisms within 5 to 10 years for their profitability to continue as their stock holders demand. Also, this just in at BusinessWeek.</ed.note> Trend #4 -- Direct Donation via Application Service Providers Signals the downfall of "UNITED WAY" Model Charities Sources which indicate this trend: Direct Deposit and Direct Payment Coalition <ed.note>Note the growth of P2P-based development like Grameen Bank, Kiva, etc. and tools like Relational Tithing.</ed.note> Trend #5 -- Massive Move Toward Nonprofit Mergers as Geographical Concerns are removed by the Web Sources which indicate this trend: New Report Provides Models for Nonprofit Mergers and Alliances Nonprofit mergers mean better service Nonprofit Mergers: The perils and the possibilities Urge to Merge Affects Small Nonprofits Trend #6 -- Corporations, Nonprofit and Government Departments to Disclose Budget Expenditures and other Pertinent Information Real-Time via the Web Sources which indicate this trend: Center for Digital Government Survey Reports of Medical Errors in U.S. Hospitals are Strongly Influencing Where Americans Choose To Go For Their Health Care Trend #7 -- Computer-illiterate Management Publicly Identified via the Web Should They Refuse to Improve Their Skill Sets Sources
which indicate this trend: Execs Must Make It Their Business To Understand IT Interfaith Center on Corporate Responsibility Social
Funds Trend #8 -- Traditionally "Independent" Industries Will Be Pressured By Government to Standardize Metrics To Allow for Comparison (Flipside of Trend #1) Sources which indicate this trend: Study Predicts Huge HIPAA Privacy Compliance Costs Trend #9 -- Traditionally Coddled Employee Groups Incentivized to Computerize Sources which indicate this trend: Pay Incentive Lures Patent Office Workers Into Computer Age Trend #10 -- Telecommuting from Home Offices over Broadband Virtual Private Networks will take off when computer-illiterate Mainstream Media begins reporting that computer-illiterate Management, Stock Analysts, and Venture Capitalists are forcing companies to use real estate charging inflated fees because they lack skills to monitor Remote Workers Sources
which indicate this trend: |
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